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Heuristic
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What You See Is All There Is (WYSIATI) Term Analysis |
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We often fail to allow for the possibility that evidence that should be critical to our judgment is missing—what we see is all there is.
The lesson is clear: estimates of causes of death are warped by media coverage. The coverage is itself biased toward novelty and poignancy.
You read that “a vaccine that protects children from a fatal disease carries a 0.001% risk of permanent disability.” The risk appears small. Now consider another description of the same risk: “One of 100,000 vaccinated children will be permanently disabled.” The second statement does something to your mind that the first does not.